Cover Image

Illustration by Baraa Al Jorf

Four More Years

Going into 2020, Trump stands to gain from incumbent advantage and a particularly strong economy. But the Democrats' bizarre calls for a total economic overhaul make a Trump victory certain.

Feb 15, 2020

The year 2020 will go down in history. Not only is it the year Democrats failed to remove Trump from office, but it’s also the year we get to watch a bunch of liberal snowflakes screaming all over our screens again. President Trump was already at an advantage as the incumbent, but the strong economy he has enabled will only expand his supporter base.
Over the span of the United States’ history, the incumbent failing to win a second term in office has been the exception to the rule. Of the 22 U.S. presidents that have sought re-election, less than ten who ran failed to win a second term in office. Of the last five incumbents who failed to win re-election, the blame can be placed on their failure to ensure a strong economy. This was the case for a bunch of presidents including George H.W Bush, Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter.
In contrast, President Trump stands to gain a massive benefit from facilitating the strongest economy from any incumbent president since the year 1900. Similarly, a recent [Gallup poll] (https://news.gallup.com/poll/284264/record-high-optimism-personal-finances.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_content=morelink&utm_campaign=syndication) found that a majority of Americans say that they are “financially better off than the previous year” and are “optimistic about their future financial situation”. This economic optimism holds true even among 60% of Democrats.
This is what makes the current Democratic strategy of a complete economic overhaul bizarre and likely to fail. Why would moderates vote for a complete reversal of economic policy when their finances and optimism about the future are doing well under the current system?
The current frontrunner for the Democratic party is Bernie Sanders, a self-described democratic socialist. He has proposed plans to allow convicted murderers and rapists to vote from prison. He has claimed support towards universal healthcare for illegal immigrants and endorsed Ocasio-Cortez’s Green New Deal, an economic proposal that Justin Haskins notes will “wreck our economy” and “send energy prices soaring.” Furthermore, he has threatened to raise the federal minimum wage to 15 dollars an hour, a move sure to cripple the economy for the midwest. According to The Federalist, “Sanders’s agenda is virtually impossible to pay for. Adding $97.5 trillion in new spending to an underlying $15.5 trillion projected budget deficit.” This is an economic change sure to radically shift the current economic landscape.
Other Democratic frontrunners like Elizabeth Warren are not notably different from Sanders. Despite her success at dodging the label, she too is a radical. She too, supports Ocasio Cortez’s Green New Deal, “free” college tuition — even for felons — and an asinine 15 dollars an hour minimum wage. In fact, the only Democratic frontrunner who has been able to advocate for common-sense center-left positions is Joe Biden — and his showing in Iowa and New Hampshire prove he will be less of an adversary than rational Americans may have hoped.
The economic success of Donald Trump is undeniable and unprecedented. Not only has satisfaction with the economy been higher than in all of recent history, but the job numbers also speak for themselves. The U.S. economy grew by 4.1 percent in the second quarter of 2018, marking the fastest economic expansion in nearly four years. Furthermore, under Trump’s guidance, the unemployment rate has fallen to “3.6… matching the lowest rate since 1969.” These numbers are fantastic for all U.S. Americans, especially Trump supporters, and it makes it all the more bizarre that Democrats would choose this year to bring about large-scale economic change.
A socialist economic system is not what America wants, and it is a hilarious mistake to propose radical policies at the same moment in history that Trump’s economy is prospering and popular.
History is not on the side of Democrats going into the 2020 election. Not only are they facing a strong Trump economy with opposing presidential candidates fielding radical economic changes, but President Trump also has the added advantage of being the incumbent. Unless Democrats can rewrite history, or continue to lie about Obama fixing the economy, all signs point towards a Trump victory in 2020.
Gianluca Campanile is a contributing writer. Email him at feedback@thegazelle.org.
gazelle logo